Ask the people you have already spoken to
When it may fit: You have a list of interested people.
Evidence needed: A request for a pre-order or deposit.
Trade-off: Some will decline; that is information.
Create a Business Brief
The first customers are rarely found by advertising. They come from the people you have already talked to, and from asking them to commit.
Where will the first thirty customers come from, and what will I do to get them?
A new business needs a first group of customers before it has any reputation, reviews or marketing budget worth the name. Founders often plan to find them through advertising or social media, which is slow and costly with no track record.
The most reliable early customers come from conversations the founder has already had, from their own networks and from places where the problem is discussed. They also give the best feedback, if they are asked to pay and not only to like the idea.
A first-customer plan rests on a few facts:
The aim of the first customers is as much to learn as to earn.
In the sample, Calculated the business sells about 150 meals a month in its first month, the 25% start of its ramp. If each customer buys one weekly box, about four a month, that is roughly 38 customers on day one, and about 94 to break even at 374 sales a month, growing to about 150 at 600 sales. The founder has had six customer conversations and no commitments.
Illustrative An invented illustration of the funnel: if one in five people who are asked for a pre-order agrees, then 38 starting customers need about 190 requests. If one in two agrees, about 76 requests are enough. The real rate is unknown until the founder starts asking, and it is the most valuable number to learn.
Hypothesis The six conversations are the founder’s best first list. Each person should be asked for a commitment at the target price, not an opinion. Information gap The evidence table in the tool rates commitments as none, which is the first thing to change. Pre-orders or deposits from even five or ten people would move the plan from hope to data.
4. Explore the interactive experience
Business Idea Investigator: a guided investigator that separates evidence from assumptions, a startup financial simulator with three cases, scripted answers from APIS, and a printable preliminary assessment, all running on what you type.
The experience below starts with a sample idea. Replace it with your own, or clear it. Nothing you type leaves your browser, and APIS supplies no market data here.
Early customers come from a short list of sources, tried in rough order of cost.
Two Pillars can help founders evaluate business concepts, research markets, build financial models, plan operations and coordinate the professional guidance a new business needs. A good first step is a first-customer plan that converts your conversations into commitments and tracks what it takes to win each one.